Posts

July 28, 2014

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8:34 PM | "There is no creature more revered in American politics than the moderate voter. Unlike the..."
“There is no creature more revered in American politics than the moderate voter. Unlike the ideologues and partisans destroying politics, the moderate is free of cant and independent of party. She yearns for politicians who get along, who govern reasonably and incrementally, who steer a course between the extremes of the left and the right. …The only problem is moderates are largely a statistical myth — and efforts to empower them may, accidentally, lead to the rise of more […]
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7:58 PM | Yummy Mr. P!
Chris Skovron writes: A colleague sent the attached image from Indonesia. For whatever reason, it seems appropriate that Mr. P is a delicious salty snack with the tagline “good times.” Indeed. MRP has made the New York Times and Indonesian snack food. What more can we ask for? The post Yummy Mr. P! appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.
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4:30 PM | A linguist has a question about sampling when the goal is causal inference from observational data
Nate Delaney-Busch writes: I’m a PhD student of cognitive neuroscience at Tufts, and a question came recently with my colleagues about the difficulty of random sampling in cases of highly controlled stimulus sets, and I thought I would drop a line to see if you had any reading suggestions for us. Let’s say I wanted […] The post A linguist has a question about sampling when the goal is causal inference from observational data appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal […]

July 21, 2014

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6:00 PM | It's Time to Destroy Corporate Personhood
The United States in the only country in the world that recognizes corporations as persons. It's a so-called "legal fiction" that's meant to uphold the rights of groups and to smooth business processes. But it's a dangerous concept that's gone too far — and could endanger social freedoms in the future.Read more...
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3:13 PM | Skepticism about a published claim regarding income inequality and happiness
Frank de Libero writes: I read your Chance article (disproving that no one reads Chance!) re communicating about flawed psychological research. And I know from your other writings of your continuing good fight against misleading quantitative work. I think you and your students might be interested on my recent critique of a 2011 paper published […] The post Skepticism about a published claim regarding income inequality and happiness appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal […]

July 10, 2014

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6:39 PM | Chicago alert: Mister P and Stan to be interviewed on WBEZ today (Fri) 3:15pm
Niala Boodho on the Afternoon Shift will be interviewing Yair and me about our age-period-cohort extravaganza which became widely-known after being featured in this cool interactive graph by Amanda Cox in the New York Times. The actual paper is called The Great Society, Reagan’s revolution, and generations of presidential voting and was somewhat inspired by […] The post Chicago alert: Mister P and Stan to be interviewed on WBEZ today (Fri) 3:15pm appeared first on Statistical […]
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5:04 PM | Night-Time Lights Intensity Indicates Regional Favoritism
Researchers at Monash University and the University of St Gallen have used satellite data on night-time light intensity and information about the birthplaces of political leaders in 126 countries to pinpoint regional favoritism.

Hodler, R. & Raschky, P. (2014). Regional Favoritism, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 129 (2) 995-1033. DOI: 10.1093/qje/qju004

Citation

July 02, 2014

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8:09 PM | If Medical Marijuana Is Legalized, You Can Thank The Tea Party
Politics makes strange bedfellows—except for the Tea Party, which doesn't sleep with anyone. The Conservative movement has defined itself by its "no compromise" approach toward politics. So, why did Tea Party members of Congress support Democrats on a key vote on medical marijuana?Read more...
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