Posts

April 23, 2015

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1:26 PM | Political Attitudes in Social Environments
Jose Duarte, Jarret Crawford, Charlotta Stern, Jonathan Haidt, Lee Jussim, and Philip Tetlock wrote an article, “Political Diversity Will Improve Social Psychological Science,” in which the argued that the field of social psychology would benefit from the inclusion of more non-liberal voices (here I’m using “liberal” in the sense of current U.S. politics). Duarte et […] The post Political Attitudes in Social Environments appeared first on Statistical […]

April 19, 2015

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1:58 PM | Go to PredictWise for forecast probabilities of events in the news
I like it. Clear, transparent, no mumbo jumbo about their secret sauce. But . . . what’s with the hyper-precision: C’mon. “27.4%”? Who are you kidding?? (See here for explication of this point.) The post Go to PredictWise for forecast probabilities of events in the news appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

April 17, 2015

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1:54 PM | Gigerenzer on logical rationality vs. ecological rationality
I sent my post about the political implication of behavioral economics, embodied cognition, etc., to Gerd Gigerenzer, who commented as follows: The “half-empty” versus “half-full” explanation of the differences between Kahneman and us misses the essential point: the difference is about the nature of the glass of rationality, not the level of the water. For […] The post Gigerenzer on logical rationality vs. ecological rationality appeared first on Statistical […]

April 15, 2015

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4:40 PM | Item-response and ideal point models
To continue from today’s class, here’s what we’ll be discussing next time: - Estimating the direction and the magnitude of the discrimination parameters. - How to tell when your data don’t fit the model. - When does ideal-point modeling make a difference? Comparing ideal-point estimates to simple averages of survey responses. P.S. Unlike the previous […] The post Item-response and ideal point models appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and […]

April 07, 2015

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4:34 PM | Outside pissing in
Coral Davenport writes in the New York Times: Mr. Tribe, 73, has been retained to represent Peabody Energy, the nation’s largest coal company, in its legal quest to block an Environmental Protection Agency regulation that would cut carbon dioxide emissions from the nation’s coal-fired power plants . . . Mr. Tribe likened the climate change […] The post Outside pissing in appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

April 05, 2015

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1:14 PM | This is why I’m a political scientist and not a psychologist
I can understand how people can hold all sorts of wacked-out political views (after all, in the past, people have supported ideas as crazy as abolitionism, polygamy, monarchy, and the nationalization of the means of production), but certain things in psychology just continue to baffle me, even though I know they’re true. The most recent […] The post This is why I’m a political scientist and not a psychologist appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and […]

March 31, 2015

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1:16 PM | Time-release pedagogy??
Mark Palko points to this report and writes: Putting aside my concerns with the “additional years of learning” metric (and I have a lot of them), I have the feeling that there’s something strange here or i’m missing something obvious. That jump from 3-year impact to 4-year seems excessive. The press release links to a […] The post Time-release pedagogy?? appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

March 30, 2015

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1:24 PM | How is ethics like logistic regression?
Ethics decisions, like statistical inferences, are informative only if they’re not too easy or too hard. For the full story, read the whole thing. The post How is ethics like logistic regression? appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.
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