Posts

August 15, 2014

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1:03 PM | “Psychohistory” and the hype paradox
Lee Wilkinson writes: I thought you might be interested in this post. I was asked about this by someone at Skytree and replied with this link to Tyler Vigen’s Spurious Correlations. What’s most interesting about Vigen’s site is not his video (he doesn’t go into the dangers of correlating time series, for example), but his […] The post “Psychohistory” and the hype paradox appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

August 12, 2014

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9:26 PM | How do you interpret standard errors from a regression fit to the entire population?
James Keirstead writes: I’m working on some regressions for UK cities and have a question about how to interpret regression coefficients. . . . In a typical regression, one would be working with data from a sample and so the standard errors on the coefficients can be interpreted as reflecting the uncertainty in the choice […] The post How do you interpret standard errors from a regression fit to the entire population? appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and […]

August 10, 2014

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1:50 PM | Cool new position available: Director of the Pew Research Center Labs
Peter Henne writes: I wanted to let you know about a new opportunity at Pew Research Center for a data scientist that might be relevant to some of your colleagues. I [Henne] am a researcher with the Pew Research Center, where I manage an international index on religious issues. I am also working with others […] The post Cool new position available: Director of the Pew Research Center Labs appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

August 09, 2014

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1:42 AM | Perspectives on Climate Change
As part of a global effort to mobilise action from governments, business, finance and society, countries will meet in 2015 to determine a global climate agreement through the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Climate change and climate policy have become political fodder for elections worldwide, with partisan views dividing nations. The burgeoning research […] The post Perspectives on Climate Change appeared first on Wiley Asia Blog.

August 06, 2014

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6:45 PM | President of American Association of Buggy-Whip Manufacturers takes a strong stand against internal combustion engine, argues that the so-called “automobile” has “little grounding in theory” and that “results can vary widely based on the particular fuel that is used”
Some people pointed me to this official statement signed by Michael Link, president of the American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR). My colleague David Rothschild and I wrote a measured response to Link’s statement which I posted on the sister blog. But then I made the mistake of actually reading what Link wrote, and […] The post President of American Association of Buggy-Whip Manufacturers takes a strong stand against internal combustion engine, argues that the […]
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1:15 PM | Scientific communication by press release
Hector Cordero-Guzman writes: I have a question for you about an ongoing congroversy\incident related to reporting of social science research. Please see article linked below if you have a chance. I think this incident exposes real problems in the way social science research is presented and how it reaches the public… http://www.latinorebels.com/2014/05/22/new-york-times-piece-on-hispanics-and-census-based-on-study-not-yet-finalized-or-public/ Essentially, we have […] The post […]

July 31, 2014

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1:34 PM | The health policy innovation center: how best to move from pilot studies to large-scale practice?
A colleague pointed me to this news article regarding evaluation of new health plans: The Affordable Care Act would fund a new research outfit evocatively named the Innovation Center to discover how to most effectively deliver health care, with $10 billion to spend over a decade. But now that the center has gotten started, many […] The post The health policy innovation center: how best to move from pilot studies to large-scale practice? appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal […]

July 28, 2014

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8:34 PM | "There is no creature more revered in American politics than the moderate voter. Unlike the..."
“There is no creature more revered in American politics than the moderate voter. Unlike the ideologues and partisans destroying politics, the moderate is free of cant and independent of party. She yearns for politicians who get along, who govern reasonably and incrementally, who steer a course between the extremes of the left and the right. …The only problem is moderates are largely a statistical myth — and efforts to empower them may, accidentally, lead to the rise of more […]
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7:58 PM | Yummy Mr. P!
Chris Skovron writes: A colleague sent the attached image from Indonesia. For whatever reason, it seems appropriate that Mr. P is a delicious salty snack with the tagline “good times.” Indeed. MRP has made the New York Times and Indonesian snack food. What more can we ask for? The post Yummy Mr. P! appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.
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4:30 PM | A linguist has a question about sampling when the goal is causal inference from observational data
Nate Delaney-Busch writes: I’m a PhD student of cognitive neuroscience at Tufts, and a question came recently with my colleagues about the difficulty of random sampling in cases of highly controlled stimulus sets, and I thought I would drop a line to see if you had any reading suggestions for us. Let’s say I wanted […] The post A linguist has a question about sampling when the goal is causal inference from observational data appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal […]

July 21, 2014

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6:00 PM | It's Time to Destroy Corporate Personhood
The United States in the only country in the world that recognizes corporations as persons. It's a so-called "legal fiction" that's meant to uphold the rights of groups and to smooth business processes. But it's a dangerous concept that's gone too far — and could endanger social freedoms in the future.Read more...
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3:13 PM | Skepticism about a published claim regarding income inequality and happiness
Frank de Libero writes: I read your Chance article (disproving that no one reads Chance!) re communicating about flawed psychological research. And I know from your other writings of your continuing good fight against misleading quantitative work. I think you and your students might be interested on my recent critique of a 2011 paper published […] The post Skepticism about a published claim regarding income inequality and happiness appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal […]
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