Posts

November 18, 2014

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2:04 PM | In which I play amateur political scientist
Mark Palko writes: I have a couple of what are probably poli sci 101 questions. The first involves the unintended (?) consequences of plans bring political power back to the common people. The two examples I have in mind are California’s ballot initiatives and parental trigger laws but I’m sure I’m missing some obvious ones. […] The post In which I play amateur political scientist appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

November 17, 2014

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9:32 PM | Guys, we need to talk. (Houston, we have a problem).
This post is by Phil Price. I’m posting it on Andrew’s blog without knowing exactly where he stands on this so it’s especially important for readers to note that this post is NOT BY ANDREW! Last week a prominent scientist, representing his entire team of researchers, appeared in widely distributed television interviews wearing a shirt […] The post Guys, we need to talk. (Houston, we have a problem). appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social […]

November 13, 2014

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6:01 AM | 25 Years after the Fall of Berlin Wall
For 28 years, the Berlin Wall stood as a physical reminder of the Cold War’s destruction of civil liberties and a barrier against reconstruction. On November 9, 1989, the world anxiously awaited as Berliners gathered to dismantle the wall that separated families, economies, and opportunities. In honor of that momentous occasion, we invite you to […] The post 25 Years after the Fall of Berlin Wall appeared first on Wiley Asia Blog.

Lees, C. (2014). The Fall of the Berlin Wall - 25 years on, Political Insight, 5 (2) 4-7. DOI: 10.1111/2041-9066.12053

Citation
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6:01 AM | 25 Years after the Fall of Berlin Wall
For 28 years, the Berlin Wall stood as a physical reminder of the Cold War’s destruction of civil liberties and a barrier against reconstruction. On November 9, 1989, the world anxiously awaited as Berliners gathered to dismantle the wall that separated families, economies, and opportunities. In honor of that momentous occasion, we invite you to […] The post 25 Years after the Fall of Berlin Wall appeared first on Wiley Asia Blog.

Lees, C. (2014). The Fall of the Berlin Wall - 25 years on, Political Insight, 5 (2) 4-7. DOI: 10.1111/2041-9066.12053

Citation

November 12, 2014

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5:30 PM | China Could Outspend U.S. On Science Funding By 2020
China is on track to overtake the United States on research & development spending by the end of the decade, according to a report issued yesterday by the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development.Read more...

November 11, 2014

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2:47 PM | The history of MRP highlights some differences between political science and epidemiology
Responding to a comment from Thomas Lumley (who asked why MRP estimates often seem to appear without any standard errors), I wrote: In political science, MRP always seems accompanied by uncertainty estimates. However, when lots of things are being displayed at once, it’s not always easy to show uncertainty, and in many cases I simply […] The post The history of MRP highlights some differences between political science and epidemiology appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal […]

November 08, 2014

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2:16 PM | Why I’m not posting on this topic
A colleague writes: Following our recent ** article (on which you commented favourably . . .), are you maybe planning a blog post on this? Both ** and ** have extensively analysed the statistical methods used in the original article, and found them wanting. I would really like to see the ** article retracted, as […] The post Why I’m not posting on this topic appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

November 05, 2014

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11:30 PM | The Worst News From Yesterday's Elections
Senator James M. Inhofe, the Oklahoma Republican who calls climate change "the greatest hoax ever perpetrated on the American people" and compared the Environmental Protection Agency to the gestapo, will "almost certainly" be the next chair of the Senate's Environment and Public Works Committee. Read more...

November 04, 2014

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2:06 PM | Social research is not the same as health research: Macartan Humphreys gives new guidelines for ethics in social science research
In reaction to the recent controversy about a research project that interfered with an election in Montana, political scientist Macartan Humphreys shares some excellent ideas on how to think about ethics in social science research: Social science researchers rely on principles developed by health researchers that do not always do the work asked of them […] The post Social research is not the same as health research: Macartan Humphreys gives new guidelines for ethics in social science […]

November 03, 2014

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3:38 PM | My talk today at the University of Michigan, 4pm at the Institute for Social Research
Generalizing from sample to population Andrew Gelman, Department of Statistics, Columbia University We’ve been hearing a lot about “data” recently, but data are generally a means to an end, with the goal being to learn about some population of interest. How do we generalize from sample to population? The process seems a bit mysterious, especially […] The post My talk today at the University of Michigan, 4pm at the Institute for Social Research appeared first on […]

November 01, 2014

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3:06 AM | A Montana resident just sent me this
He got it in the mail and writes, “I don’t recall receiving the original mailer, but I probably would have just tossed it with the rest of the election mail I was getting.” P.S. Wouldn’t it be funny if this letter was actually sent from someone in the political science department at Montana State University, […] The post A Montana resident just sent me this appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

October 30, 2014

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7:25 PM | Your Brain's Reaction To Gross Images Can Predict Your Political Views
Past studies have shown that people who self-identify as politically conservative are more likely to experience involuntary physiological responses to disgusting images. Now, researchers have taken things a step further by using brain scans to predict test subjects' political leanings with freakishly high accuracy.Read more...
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1:18 PM | Was it really necessary to do a voting experiment on 300,000 people? Maybe 299,999 would’ve been enough? Or 299,998? Or maybe 2000?
There’s been some discussion recently about an experiment done in Montana, New Hampshire, and California, conducted by three young political science professors, in which letters were sent to 300,000 people, in order to (possibly) affect their voting behavior. It appears that the plan was to follow up after the elections and track voter turnout. (Some […] The post Was it really necessary to do a voting experiment on 300,000 people? Maybe 299,999 would’ve been enough? Or […]

October 29, 2014

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10:30 AM | Is Influencing an Election "Political Science Malpractice"?
So here's an important question: How badly designed and how many obvious laws do you have to break in your study before you stop and re-design it? And is the resulting effect on elections malpractice?Read more...
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2:57 AM | Body-slam on the sister blog
John Ahlquist and Scott Gehlbach nail it. The post Body-slam on the sister blog appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.
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