Posts

October 21, 2014

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10:45 AM | In Tight Races, Both Parties Bank On Early Votes
Two million people have already voted in next month's election, including President Obama. Locking in votes early is huge, particularly since control of the Senate rests in a handful of close races.

October 20, 2014

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4:56 PM | Keeping cancer on the political agenda – this year’s Party Conferences
We look back on this year's Party Conferences, highlighting our work to keep cancer on the political agenda ahead of the next General Election.
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8:23 AM | Turf Shifts In Culture Wars As Support For Gay Marriage Rises
Campaigning against gay marriage used to help Republicans win elections — but now GOP candidates in tight races are backing away from mentioning social issues on the stump.

October 18, 2014

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11:43 AM | Texas Can Enforce Voter ID Law For November Election
The Supreme Court announced that Texas can use its controversial new voter ID law for the November election. NPR's Scott Simon gets the latest from Supreme Court correspondent Nina Totenberg.

October 17, 2014

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12:49 PM | A tale of immigration
You may be surprised that this month’s blog post is not about public health, nor is it about epidemiology. It’s closely aligned though, in that I’d like to pay a bit of attention to lying with (objective) data. Here in the UK we are gearing up for another election, with the most important theme seeming […]

October 15, 2014

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4:13 PM | Thailand's Leader Hints At Putting Off Return To Democracy
Gen. Prayuth Chan-ocha, who seized power in a May coup, had originally said that elections would be held by late 2015. Now he suggests the date could be pushed back.
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9:42 AM | UK science: look at the state we're in | Stephen Curry
Briefings published today by the Campaign for Science and Engineering highlight science policy issues that should be debated vigorously before next years electionThe conferences are over and with only seven months to go before the election attention is focusing on the policy platforms that will differentiate the major political parties. For now there is a disproportionate clamour over the disruption that may or may not be caused by the UK Independence party (Ukip). But for the research […]

October 14, 2014

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11:44 PM | Elect These Four Californians: Lois Capps, Heidi Hall, Mike Honda, Ted Lieu
This is an endorsement by Climate Hawks Vote, which I support. Climate Hawks Vote is delighted to endorse in four California Congressional elections, joining our prior endorsement of Scott Peters (CA-52, San Diego). In order purely alphabetical, they’re Lois Capps, Heidi Hall, Mike Honda, and Ted Lieu. Lois Capps (CA-24, Santa Barbara) has earned our…

October 13, 2014

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3:00 PM | Election forecasting and big data
Matt Yglesias writes on what he calls the hazy metaphysics of probability as it applies to election forecasting. For example, as of right now, Nate Silver’s forecasts have a 42.2% chance of the Democrats (plus independents) getting the majority in the Senate, while Sam Wang’s forecasts have that same number at 39%. As Yglesias points […]

October 12, 2014

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11:22 AM | Morales Is The Favorite In Bolivia Elections
Love him or hate him, Bolivia's President Evo Morales is expected to win a third term in today's election. Morales has paved the way for his re-election through his skilled handling of the economy.

October 11, 2014

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11:00 AM | Gamers polled on Xbox can predict US election results
Cheaper, faster and able to reach larger audiences than traditional methods, polling through game consoles could predict the outcome of US elections

October 09, 2014

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6:01 PM | Hurricane Simon's Remnants Moving Through Mexico And The US
Tropical Storm Simon, once a hurricane, is expected to bring heavy rain to portions of the central Plains and Midwest on today and tomorrow. Since it is not hitting New York City during presidential election season, it won't be called a SuperStorm and get much national media attention.read more

October 07, 2014

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8:12 PM | Who was Gerry Mander?
Moving the political goalposts – Gerrymandering is the deliberate design of voting districts to achieve a specific outcome other than fair representation in a governmental election. It is named for US Governor Elbridge Gerry of Massachusetts, who signed the Massachusetts Senate Redistricting Bill of 1812 that included several “creatively” drawn districts designed to ensure his […]Who was Gerry Mander? is a post from the science blog of science journalist, photographer […]

October 05, 2014

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11:01 PM | Neves Will Face Incumbent Rousseff In Brazil's Runoff Election
In Sunday's presidential election, incumbent Dilma Rousseff and right-of-center candidate Aecio Neves came out on top. Marina Silva, the environmentalist Socialist candidate, trailed far behind.

October 04, 2014

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11:55 AM | Brazil's Election Culminates A Season Filled With Shocks
Brazilians head to the polls Sunday in one of the most exciting elections in recent history there. The presidential race pits two women against each other — a first for the South American country.

October 03, 2014

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3:40 PM | Election politics in Lincolnland
As the election season heats up here in Lincolnland, citizens are getting the old GnOPe Rauner-round, promises bereft of any plans or details, as if the how such things will be done were unimportant. Now where is it written that somebody who has made a lot of money in business (He’s rich. Get over it.)  knows anything at all about how to run a government?  These local Trumpettes (There is also Overwhite, the milk magnate.) do have better hair, but apparently no realization that […]

September 30, 2014

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9:30 AM | Seven day access – policy goes in the wrong direction – again!
Politicians just don’t get it. They are (and have been for years) obsessed with increasing access to GPs. And of course it sounds good for elections. But it’s not what the population needs. Increasing access comes at the expense of continuity of care. You can’t see your own doctor and expect him or her to ...read more

September 29, 2014

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7:30 AM | In N.H. Race, A Rematch Of A Rematch
Voters in New Hampshire's 1st District have swung back and forth in recent congressional elections. This year, Democratic Rep. Carol Shea-Porter meets former GOP Rep. Frank Guinta for the third time.

September 25, 2014

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12:18 PM | Where do we go but nowhere?
New Zealand’s general election is over. The National Party has won itself another three years in government. With a probable overall majority and the support of three fringe MPs, prime minister John Key and his cabinet will be able to do more or less what they like. Given the government’s performance on climate matters over […]

September 22, 2014

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12:20 PM | Don’t Blame The Tea-Bagger 13% On Me
The Sweden Democrats (SD) is a racist populist party that got 13% of the vote in the recent Swedish parliamentary election. They got into Parliament four years ago at the expense of the Labour Party. This time around they more than doubled their support at the expense of the Conservative Party, who lost a precarious…
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8:00 AM | Data on Muslim vote in Gujarat and UP
This week, Economic & Political Weekly publishes the first thorough empirical application of my namematching algorithm: an exploration of the spatial variation of the "Muslim vote" in Gujarat and Uttar Pradesh in the 2014 general elections, which I have written with Raheel Dhattiwala (from the University of South Australia, and formerly Oxford), following up on Raheel's considerable research on Gujarat and my own earlier work on […]

September 21, 2014

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11:16 PM | Things you can do about global warming now we have a new do-nothing government (same as the old one)
Australia’s brilliant First Dog On The Moon on climate action (courtesy of The Tree), deemed by me to be relevant in the aftermath of an election that has delivered New Zealand another three years of National-led government, and therefore little prospect of serious action on climate matters. I’ll have a slightly less amusing reaction to […]
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