Posts

September 20, 2014

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9:22 PM | Afghan Rivals Prepare To Sign Power-Sharing Agreement
The country's presidential election, which has been disputed for months, may finally be coming to an end. The two candidates are expected to sign a deal tomorrow that would create a unity government.

September 19, 2014

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8:15 AM | Congress Quietly Extends The Budget — Past Election Day, Anyway
Since the GOP retook the House, the chamber once brought the country to the brink of a debt default and once shut down the government. But in election years, including this one, there's no such drama.
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4:45 AM | Genes influence political engagement
Your ideological position, and your participation in demonstrations and elections, are partly determined by your genes.

September 18, 2014

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3:50 PM | Sanford-Burnham welcomes five new Trustees
Sanford-Burnham today announced the election of 5 new Trustees to our Board.

September 13, 2014

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11:39 AM | White House Tries To Ease Hispanic Caucus Frustrations
Many were disappointed when President Obama announced he would delay immigration reform until after mid-term elections. NPR's Wade Goodwyn talks to White House domestic policy chief Cecilia Munoz.

September 11, 2014

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4:25 PM | THE SCOTTISH INDEPENDENCE REFERENDUM 2014: Thoughts of a Disenfranchised Scot
Originally posted on angiesallsorts:On September 18th 2014 the people of Scotland will vote in an election to decide whether to declare independence from the United Kingdom and the Westminster Parliament. Those eligible to vote are aged sixteen and above with a residential address within Scotland, who have lived there long enough to get on…

September 10, 2014

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10:14 PM | Scottish polls…
As much as I love Scotland, or because of it, I would not dream of suggesting to Scots that one side of the referendum sounds better than the other. However, I am rather annoyed at the yoyo-like reactions to the successive polls about the result, because, just like during the US elections, each poll is […]
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12:26 AM | TDB Today: An election looms: do I feel lucky?
A word to the wise: there’s an election about to happen. Not much sign of climate policy coverage in the newspapers or on television, so in my Daily Blog post this week — An election looms: do I feel lucky? — I provide an entirely superficial but 100% accurate overview of the climate policies of […]

September 09, 2014

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8:58 PM | In An Era Of Gridlock, Does Controlling The Senate Really Matter?
As the midterm elections near, Republicans are increasingly confident they will control both houses of Congress. But even if they do, the clashes will likely continue.

September 08, 2014

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12:36 PM | A tough year for Australian science
Yesterday marked a year since Australia’s conservative Liberal-National Coalition were swept to victory in the country’s federal election. For Australian scientists, it’s been a tough 12 months. Prime Minister Tony Abbott started by announcing a cabinet that, for the first time since 1931, did not include a dedicated Science Minister. Speaking to Fairfax Media at […] The post A tough year for Australian science appeared first on physicsfocus.org.
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4:30 AM | Imran Khan's Misstep
by Ahmed Humayun The 2013 elections in Pakistan gained the Pakistan Tehrik-e-Insaf (PTI) the government in Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa province as well as the third most prominent position in parliament. This striking success was a vindication of Imran Khan, PTI's leader, who...

September 02, 2014

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7:28 AM | As The U.S. Draws Down, Afghan Fighting Is Heating Up
U.S. combat troops will be gone by year's end and Afghanistan is still trying to sort out its presidential election. The Taliban, meanwhile, have launched some of their largest offensives in years.

September 01, 2014

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5:11 PM | Neil Tyson On The Politics Of Science Denial
Spend any time in American science media and you may find some of them are pretty far out of the political mainstream; so far out, they may not even be friends with anyone who has not always voted the same way as them.So it's unsurprising that much of science media once perpetuated the claim that 'science votes Democrat.'  Humans are fallible and confirmation bias is sneaky. As was apocryphally attributed to New Yorker film critic Pauline Kael after the 1972 Presidential election and a […]
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1:21 PM | It Might Sound Stupid, But Maybe It Isn't The Economy This Time
An oft-repeated bit of campaign advice held that, "It's the economy, stupid." But maybe in this mid-term election cycle, that's not quite right.
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1:21 PM | It Might Sound Stupid, But Maybe It Isn't The Economy This Time
An oft-repeated bit of campaign advice held that, "It's the economy, stupid." But maybe in this midterm election cycle, that's not quite right.
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2:41 AM | August ’14 – NZ blogs sitemeter ranking
  Bloggers in the thick of election campaign? Image Credit: Against the Current PLEASE NOTE: Sitemeter is playing up again making it impossible to automatically get the stats using the normal process. I have done a manual work around but it was … Continue reading →
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2:41 AM | August ’14 – NZ blogs sitemeter ranking
  Bloggers in the thick of election campaign? Image Credit: Against the Current PLEASE NOTE: Sitemeter is playing up again making it impossible to automatically get the stats using the normal process. I have done a manual work around but it was … Continue reading →

August 28, 2014

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1:37 PM | Pre-election survey methodology: details from nine polling organizations, 1988 and 1992
This one from 1995 (with D. Stephen Voss and Gary King) was fun. For our “Why are American Presidential election campaign polls so variable when votes are so predictable?” project a few years earlier, Gary and I had analyzed individual-level survey responses from 60 pre-election polls that had been conducted by several different polling organizations. […] The post Pre-election survey methodology: details from nine polling organizations, 1988 and 1992 appeared first on […]
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10:57 AM | Good governance, democracy and investment in science
From what others have written here at sciblogs most readers will know that we have elections on in New Zealand soon. While reading the newspaper last weekend I encountered an opinion piece by political commenter Colin James that includes commentary on investing in science that readers might be interested in. His essay opens by talking [...]

August 27, 2014

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8:09 PM | Mapping Out The End Days Of The Midterm Campaign
The end of August heralds the start to the final phase of the 2014 election season. As primaries wrap up and candidates ready themselves for November, NPR's Charlie Mahtesian lays out the political landscape.
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1:36 PM | Discussion of “A probabilistic model for the spatial distribution of party support in multiparty elections”
From 1994. I don’t have much to say about this one. The paper I was discussing (by Samuel Merrill) had already been accepted by the journal—I might even have been a referee, in which case the associate editor had decided to accept the paper over my objections—and the editor gave me the opportunity to publish […] The post Discussion of “A probabilistic model for the spatial distribution of party support in multiparty elections” appeared first on Statistical […]

August 26, 2014

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1:16 PM | Review of “Forecasting Elections”
From 1993. The topic of election forecasting sure gets a lot more attention than it used to! Here are some quotes from my review of that book by Michael Lewis-Beck and Tom Rice: Political scientists are aware that most voters are consistent in their preferences, and one can make a good guess just looking at […] The post Review of “Forecasting Elections” appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

August 25, 2014

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1:00 PM | On deck this week
Mon: Discussion of “Maximum entropy and the nearly black object” Tues: Review of “Forecasting Elections” Wed: Discussion of “A probabilistic model for the spatial distribution of party support in multiparty elections” Thurs: Pre-election survey methodology: details from nine polling organizations, 1988 and 1992 Fri: Avoiding model selection in Bayesian social research Sat, Sun: You might […] The post On deck this week appeared first on Statistical […]
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