January 18, 2015

2:11 PM | Lee Sechrest
Yesterday we posted on Lewis Richardson, a scientist who did pioneering work in weather prediction and, separately, in fractals, in the early twentieth century. I was pointed to Richardson by Lee Sechrest, who I then googled. Here’s Sechrest’s story: His first major book [was] “Psychotherapy and the Psychology of Behavior Change” . . . Sechrest […] The post Lee Sechrest appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

January 17, 2015

5:09 PM | Scott’s “Art of not being governed,” in a nutshell
I read James Scott’s 2009 “The art of not being governed: An anarchist history of upland Southeast Asia.” I’ve reproduced a quote that concisely captures a nice chunk of the ~400 page book. The terms raw and cooked are Chinese euphemisms, possibly outmoded, for distinguishing between “barbarians” and “citizens.” It would seem to describe refinement, […]
2:43 PM | Lewis Richardson, father of numerical weather prediction and of fractals
Lee Sechrest writes: If you get a chance, Wiki this guy: I [Sechrest] did and was gratifyingly reminded that I read some bits of his work in graduate school 60 years ago. Specifically, about his math models for predicting wars and his work on fractals to arrive at better estimates of the lengths of common […] The post Lewis Richardson, father of numerical weather prediction and of fractals appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.
1:52 PM | Being Old in New York City
An article in this month's Politico magazine, "Seniors Take Manhattan," is all about the ways that it's easier to "age in place" in a big city than almost anywhere else in the U.S. The author, Debra Bruno, marshalls tons of evidence in defense of that position. read more

January 16, 2015

3:43 PM | When a study fails to replicate: let’s be fair and open-minded
In a recent discussion of replication in science (particularly psychology experiments), the question came up of how to interpret things when a preregistered replication reaches a conclusion different from the original study. Typically the original, published result is large and statistically significant, and the estimate from the replication is small and not statistically significant. One […] The post When a study fails to replicate: let’s be fair and open-minded appeared first on […]
1:22 PM | Cross-validation, LOO and WAIC for time series
This post is by Aki. Jonah asked in Stan users mailing list Suppose we have J groups and T time periods, so y[t,j] is the observed value of y at time t for group j. (We also have predictors x[t,j].) I’m wondering if WAIC is appropriate in this scenario assuming that our interest in predictive accuracy is for […] The post Cross-validation, LOO and WAIC for time series appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.
9:05 AM | Pelialan opinnäytekilpailu 2015 / Game Studies Thesis Competition 2015
[Spread the word: Finnish Game Studies Thesis competition, English text below] Pelialan opinnäytekilpailu 2015 Kolmatta kertaa järjestettävä pelialan opinnäytekilpailu tekee näkyväksi pelien parissa tehtävää korkeatasoista suomalaista koulutus- ja tutkimustyötä. Kilpailun järjestävät yhteistyössä pelitutkimuksen verkosto DiGRA Finland ja Suomen pelialan keskus … Continue reading →

January 15, 2015

11:27 PM | The Making of a Tough Mudder.
In November 2011, I participated in my first Tough Mudder, an event officially billed as a “hardcore, 10-12 mile obstacle course designed by British Special Forces to test your all around... -- Read more on
10:12 PM | Springer and Macmillan merger : some observations
The proposed merger between Springer and Macmillan came as a surprise to me. They are two big brands that come together. However if you look purely at figures in number of journals Macmillan is a midget compared to Springer and combined they are probably slightly bigger than Elsevier. It is the brand of Nature and … Continue reading Springer and Macmillan merger : some observations The post Springer and Macmillan merger : some observations appeared first on WoW! Wouter on the Web.
9:34 PM | The bracket!
That’s right, we’re getting ready for the battle to choose the best seminar ever. Paul Davidson, who send in the image below, writes: Knocked together in Excel. I’m European, so I may not have respected the North American system for brackets i.e. I split each category into seeded pools and randomly drew from them. The […] The post The bracket! appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.
2:55 PM | I need your help in setting up the ultimate bracket: Picking the ideal seminar speaker
This came in the departmental email awhile ago: CALL FOR APPLICATIONS: LATOUR SEMINAR — DUE DATE AUGUST 11 (extended) The Brown Institute for Media Innovation, Alliance (Columbia University, École Polytechnique, Sciences Po, and Panthéon-Sorbonne University), The Center for Science and Society, and The Faculty of Arts and Sciences are proud to present BRUNO LATOUR AT […] The post I need your help in setting up the ultimate bracket: Picking the ideal seminar speaker […]
2:30 PM | Psychological Theory and Gamification of Learning
Gamification, the use of game elements in non-game contexts, is increasingly being implemented in both student and organizational learning initiatives. Many of these efforts are atheoretical, meaning that the teachers using them don’t necessarily have a well-grounded reason for gamifying. Instead, they often gamify with the intention of making learning more “fun.” Unfortunately, 1) not […]The post Psychological Theory and Gamification of Learning appeared first on […]
10:35 AM | Cold winds blow between the East and the West
Russia is once again at loggerheads with the West, so is talk of a new Cold War justified? The Ukraine crisis has seen a deterioration in Russia’s relations with the...

January 14, 2015

11:00 PM | Educative Supervision in International Cooperation Contexts
This present paper has got a clear goal: to contextualize education for development in the present moment, planning its evolution and the keys that characterize education collected from the most representative and up-to-date pieces of work. The experience that we present is integrated in a project developed in Paraguay that is expected to describe the professional characteristics of the school supervisors of the Republic of Paraguay and according to them, determine which are their training […]
11:00 PM | Educational Research on Diversity and Quality Improvement in Education
Introduction to Issue
11:00 PM | The Relationship between Test Anxiety, Epistemological Beliefs and Problem Solving among Students
The purpose of this study was to investigate the test anxiety, epistemological beliefs and problem solving among students. The target population of the current research was all the students of University of Sistan and Baluchestan in the academic year 2013-2014 and the number of the sample was 375. They were selected using a classified and simple random method. The main tools to collect data were three questionnaires. The test anxiety questionnaire by Abolqasemi et al. (1996), epistemological […]
11:00 PM | Teachers’ beliefs about diversity: an analysis from a personal and professional perspective
The purpose of this study was to examine the beliefs that teachers have about diversity and their level of sensitivity towards some topics related to it. Moreover, beliefs were compared according to teachers’ personal and professional views and teaching experience. The Personal and Professional Beliefs about Diversity Scales (Pohan and Aguilar, 1999) were administered to a sample of 233 teachers. Results showed highly positive beliefs towards diversity in all its dimensions (cultural, […]
11:00 PM | An Attack on Inclusive Education in Secondary Education. Limitations in Initial Teacher Training in Spain
Inclusive education is hard to implement in secondary schools. Probably, one of the determining factors lies in teachers' initial  training that determines their attitude, identity and professional practice. This research analyses the initial teacher education programmes for Secondary Education, Higher Secondary Education, called bachillerato in Spain, and Vocational and Artistic training in the five best valued Spanish universities in the education field, according to the ranking I-UGR, […]
11:00 PM | Media Literacy through photography and participation. A conceptual approach
We are living in social massification processes that oppress our identity and specificity as a human group; however, there are tools increasingly present among researchers, educators and other professionals who help to develop interpretations and create knowledge by developing a participatory communication perspective.This article discusses how communication and learning through dialogue and creative practice can be fostered with social interaction and dialogic processes generated through […]
11:00 PM | Determinants of Internet use for interactive learning: an exploratory study
The use of the Internet in higher education teaching can facilitate the interactive learning process and thus improve educational outcomes. The aim of the study presented here is to explore which variables are linked to higher intensity of Internet-based interactive educational practices. The study is based on data obtained from an online survey of students from three different types of universities: a face-to-face university (University of Barcelona, UB), a technological face-to-face […]
11:00 PM | Questionnaire evaluating teaching competencies in the university environment. Evaluation of teaching competencies in the university
The objective of this study was to design and validate a measuring instrument to evaluate the performance of university professors. The Evaluation of Teaching Performance (CEID [Centro de Estudios e Investigaciones Docentes (Center for Teaching Studies and Research)]) questionnaire was administered to 1297 university students. Various factor analyses were performed (exploratory and confirmatory), of the internal consistency, descriptive statistics, and correlation of all of the items. The data […]
11:00 PM | Analysis of risks in a Learning Management System: A case study in the Spanish National University of Distance Education (UNED)
This article presents a research that examines the university students' risk perception when using a Learning Management System called “aLF” and implemented by the Spanish National University of Distance Education (UNED) for the development of its university distance studies. The development of comprehensive Learning Management Systems for teaching-learning distance practices in the European Higher Education Area (EHEA) is a challenge for universities all around Europe. For this […]
9:10 PM | Egg yolks as design feature
I have more trouble than I should remembering how many cups of flour I’ve put in the batter so far, but I never have trouble remembering the number of eggs, because each egg comes with a yellow token to help in keeping count. I’d say egg’s are pretty well designed, although, to be fair, a […]
5:10 PM | Stan comes through . . . again!
Erikson Kaszubowski writes in: I missed your call for Stan research stories, but the recent post about stranded dolphins mentioned it again. When I read about the Crowdstorming project in your blog, I thought it would be a good project to apply my recent studies in Bayesian modeling. The project coordinators shared a big dataset […] The post Stan comes through . . . again! appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.
3:51 PM | La seducción del lado oscuro
Hacer el mal, o la mera idea de causar un daño a nuestros semejantes en beneficio propio, nos suele causar repulsión. Sin embargo, muchas personas acaban seducidas por esta forma […]
1:59 PM | Some art so far
In response to my request #1 (“Gone Fishing” T-shirt), Ed Witt sent in this: I thanked Ed and asked if it would be possible to take the image and add to it so it’s clear that the “.05” is being drawn from a sea of other numbers, also with a little bucket next to the […] The post Some art so far appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

January 13, 2015

2:08 PM | Artist needed!
We have some great ideas but none of us can draw. We need your help with designs and art for any or all of these projects: 1. “Gone Fishing” T-shirt A person is standing in a boat, fishing. The lake is full, not of fish but of little numbers: “.14″, “.31″, “.08″, etc etc. And […] The post Artist needed! appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.
12:36 PM | German Networks on the Third Crusade
#NetworkScience As we are increasingly confronted with actors operating outside “normal” state-centric networks, studying a period when states paradoxically consisted of non-state networks can be very enlightening. I have mentioned the study of medieval England in a previous post. My third historical … Continue reading →
10:58 AM | In the era of #repligate: What are valid cues for the trustworthiness of a study?
In a recent lecture I talked about the replication crisis in psychology. After the lecture my students asked: “We learn so much stuff in our lectures, and now you tell us that a considerable proportion of these ‘facts’ probably are just false positives? Then, what can we believe at all?”. A short discussion soon led […]

January 12, 2015

4:17 PM | Abierta la Convocatoria UDIMA de Movilidad Erasmus+ con fines de estudio y prácticas
El Rectorado de la Universidad a Distancia de Madrid (UDIMA) informa de la apertura de la convocatoria Erasmus+ para movilidad con fines de estudio y de prácticas, para estudiantes de […]
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