Posts

July 19, 2014

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5:11 PM | “No wang-wang zone”
My dad lives in the Philippines, and I was in the Manila airport on my way to visit him. I was in the part where you get in line and wait for them to glance at your passport when I saw a cheap computer printed sign taped to a column. This is a no wang-wang […]
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2:37 PM | Xeno’s paradox
There is probably some very deep psychology behind the age-old tradition of blaming problems on foreigners. These days I’m a foreigner, in Switzerland, and so I get to see how things are and how I affect them. I’ve found that I can trigger a change in norms even by going out of my way to […]

July 18, 2014

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1:03 PM | Differences between econometrics and statistics: From varying treatment effects to utilities, economists seem to like models that are fixed in stone, while statisticians tend to be more comfortable with variation
I had an interesting discussion with Peter Dorman (whose work on assessing the value of a life we discussed in this space a few years ago). The conversation started when Peter wrote me about his recent success using hierarchical modeling for risk analysis. He wrote, “Where have they [hierarchical models] been all my life? In […] The post Differences between econometrics and statistics: From varying treatment effects to utilities, economists seem to like models that are fixed in […]

July 17, 2014

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1:36 PM | Ethics and statistics
I spoke (remotely) recently at the University of Wisconsin, on the topic of ethics and statistics. Afterward, I received the following question from Fabrizzio Sanchez: As hard as it is to do, I thought it was good to try and define what exactly makes for an ethical violation. Your third point noted that it needed […] The post Ethics and statistics appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

July 16, 2014

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7:07 PM | What can teeth tell us about our prehistoric ancestors?
Our distant past is just that: the distant past. It’s this murky place that science is slowly filling in but the landscape still largely exists just on the periphery of our imagination, and... -- Read more on ScientificAmerican.com
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7:07 PM | What can teeth tell us about our prehistoric ancestors?
Our distant past is just that: the distant past. It’s this murky place that science is slowly filling in but the landscape still largely exists just on the periphery of our imagination, and... -- Read more on ScientificAmerican.com
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1:30 PM | How to Write a Publishable Social Scientific Research Article: Exploring Your “Process”
If you ever talk to an artist about how they create whatever it is they create, whether that is acting, pottery, or blog articles, you will eventually begin to talk about their “process.” The process is whatever technique people use to go from a default state (e.g., bored and watching TV) to a state of creation. […]Related articles from NeoAcademic:Grad School: How Do I Write a Personal Statement? Scientific Research in Organizations Psychology Research Laboratories on […]
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1:21 PM | “The Europeans and Australians were too eager to believe in renal denervation”
As you can see, I’m having a competition with myself for the most boring title ever. The story, though, is not boring. Paul Alper writes: I just came across this in the NYT. Here is the NEJM article itself: And here is the editorial in the NEJM: The gist is that on the basis of […] The post “The Europeans and Australians were too eager to believe in renal denervation” appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.
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12:12 PM | ‘Seeing Scientifically’ Masterclass Slides
Some slides I used to teach an introductory Science & Technology masterclass to visiting 16-18 year old students.  Feel free to use and disseminate, but please credit me and if you could drop me a note to tell me about … Continue reading →
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6:18 AM | What is QCA? Simple question, many answers
As an approach to and method for the analysis of set relations, Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) belongs in the toolbox of many social scientists (and organizational and management researchers alike). Although it has proven to be very popular, a question … Continue reading →

July 15, 2014

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5:11 PM | “Rethinking Home” with Citizen Anthropologists
There is something to be said for having a space that you call home. It grounds you in social and cultural ways. As much as your home is a reflection of who you are, it also becomes a mirror for... -- Read more on ScientificAmerican.com
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5:11 PM | “Rethinking Home” with Citizen Anthropologists
There is something to be said for having a space that you call home. It grounds you in social and cultural ways. As much as your home is a reflection of who you are, it also becomes a mirror for... -- Read more on ScientificAmerican.com
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4:26 PM | A Funny Thing Happened On The Way To The Laboratory: Science and Standup Comedy
Originally posted on sidewayslookatscience:A couple of years ago I accidentally found myself outside the Royal Society, Britain’s 400-year old elite scientific society.  I decided to pop in and say hello.  Unfortunately, my ambitions were thwarted by a receptionist asking…
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8:33 AM | Stan World Cup update
The other day I fit a simple model to estimate team abilities from World Cup outcomes. I fit the model to the signed square roots of the score differentials, using the square root on the theory that when the game is less close, it becomes more variable. 0. Background As you might recall, the estimated […] The post Stan World Cup update appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

July 14, 2014

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10:00 PM | Developments in Transnational Research Collaborations: Evidence from U.S. Higher-education Activity
In our knowledge-driven era, multiple and mutual benefits accrue from transnational research linkages. The article identifies important directions in transnational research collaborations involving U.S. universities revealed by key dimensions of 369 projects profiled on a U.S. higher-education association’s database. Project initiators, principal research fields, regional and country distributions, and the sources and amounts of funding for different types of transnational research […]
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10:00 PM | Understanding the role of organizational factors in shaping the research careers of women academics in higher education
This paper represents an attempt to make a theoretical contribution to its knowledge base through an analysis of the group factors which contribute to the success of women academics engaged in research within the area of social sciences. The data were obtained through a series of in-depth interviews carried out at public universities in Catalonia, with women academics –all of whom were the heads of research groups recognized by the Generalitat [Regional Government] of Catalonia. The […]
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10:00 PM | Effects of goal-setting skills on students’academic performance in english language in Enugu Nigeria
The study investigated the effectiveness of goal-setting skills among Senior Secondary II students’ academic performance in English language in Enugu Metropolis, Enugu state, Nigeria. Quasi-experimental pre-test, post- test control group design was adopted for the study. The initial sample was 147 participants (male and female) Senior Secondary School II students drawn from two public schools in Enugu zone of Enugu Metropolis. The final sample for the intervention consisted of 80 […]
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10:00 PM | An interdisciplinary study in initial teacher training
This experiment of innovative university education shows the interdisciplinary work carried out in the studies of the Bachelor of Science in Education at the University of Andorra. The study was developed within two subjects: Communication Technology (TAC) and Cultural Heritage Education in Andorra. The main objective of this experiment is to foster the use of technological resources and digital materials, with the aim of drawing cultural heritage closer to the classroom. Based on a previous […]
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10:00 PM | Assessing Adult Learner’s Numeracy as Related to Gender and Performance in Arithmetic
The study investigated adult learner numeracy as related to gender and performance in arithmetic among 32 Nigerian adult learners from one government accredited adult literacy centre in Lagos State using the quantitative research method within the blueprint of descriptive survey design. Data collected were analysed using the descriptive statistics of percentages, mean, and standard deviation and inferential statistics of factor analysis, independent samples t-test, and multiple regression […]
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10:00 PM | Solving math and science problems in the real world with a computational mind
This article presents a new paradigm for the study of Math and Sciences curriculum during primary and secondary education. A workshop for Education undergraduates at four different campuses (n=242) was designed to introduce participants to the new paradigm. In order to make a qualitative analysis of the current school methodologies in mathematics, participants were introduced to a taxonomic tool for the description of K-12 Math problems. The tool allows the identification, decomposition and […]
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10:00 PM | The human-animal relationship: a new field of socio-educational action
This article analyses the educational approaches towards the animal-human relationship which have been developed during the last 20 years. The article establishes a chain of states in that relationship and presents the reasons why those states are consecutive or, occasionally, simultaneous. Next, the different European profiles of social educators are reviewed to see which of these are more open towards educational action with animals, something which could be considered a new field for […]
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8:31 PM | House of Lords Bill Would Allow Physician-Assisted Dying
Maybe it's because, at the age of 82, he is thinking more personally about what it means to have a good death. But for whatever reason, Archbishop Desmond Tutu wrote an article this past weekend in favor of assisted dying, a reversal in his previous position that will no doubt have an impact far beyond his native South Africa.read more
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8:31 PM | "Nothing Holy About Agony"
Maybe it's because, at the age of 82, he is thinking more personally about what it means to have a good death. But for whatever reason, Archbishop Desmond Tutu wrote an article this past weekend in favor of assisted dying, a reversal in his previous position that will no doubt have an impact far beyond his native South Africa.read more
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4:26 PM | Cómo resetear la mente dando un paseo
En uno de sus cuentos, Lewis Carroll nos dice que cuando Aquiles finalmente alcanzó a la tortuga se sentó sobre su caparazón y entablaron un diálogo. ¿Cómo, contrariamente a lo […]
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3:56 PM | “Building on theories used to describe magnets, scientists have put together a model that captures something very different . . .”
There’s a story that (some) physicists and science reporters seem to like, which is the idea that some clever mathematician or physicist can derive universal laws of social behavior. It’s time to tell you all: Hari Seldon never existed. Here’s what I think of these stories of physicists who discover the laws of society. I […] The post “Building on theories used to describe magnets, scientists have put together a model that captures something very different . . […]
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1:00 PM | On deck this week
Mon: “Building on theories used to describe magnets, scientists have put together a model that captures something very different . . .” Tues: Questions about “Too Good to Be True” Wed: “The Europeans and Australians were too eager to believe in renal denervation” Thurs: Ethics and statistics Fri: Differences between econometrics and statistics: From varying […] The post On deck this week appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and […]
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7:30 AM | Stan London Meetup 16 July
Michael Betancourt announces: The Stan Development Team is happy to announce the first Stan London Meetup, Wednesday, July 16th, 6-8 PM Bentham House, Seminar Room 4 4-8 Endsleigh Gardens, London, WC1H 0EG Nominally the plan is to begin with a casual introduction to Stan and then break out into discussion based on the interests of […] The post Stan London Meetup 16 July appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

July 13, 2014

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9:44 AM | Stan goes to the World Cup
I thought it would be fun to fit a simple model in Stan to estimate the abilities of the teams in the World Cup, then I could post everything here on the blog, the whole story of the analysis from beginning to end, showing the results of spending a couple hours on a data analysis. […] The post Stan goes to the World Cup appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

July 12, 2014

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7:00 PM | D&D 5e: Probabilities for Advantage and Disadvantage
The new rules for D&D 5e (formerly known as D&D Next) are finally here: Dungeons & Dragons, 5th Edition: Basic Rules D&D 5e introduces a new game mechanic, advantage and disadvantage. Basic d20 Rules Usually, players roll a 20-sided die (d20) to resolve everyting from attempts at diplomacy to hitting someone with a sword. Each […] The post D&D 5e: Probabilities for Advantage and Disadvantage appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.

July 11, 2014

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1:34 PM | Hey—this is a new kind of spam!
Ya think they’ll never come up with something new, and then this comes along: Dear Dr. Gelman, I am writing to inquire about the availability of obtaining a self-funded visiting scholar position in your institution for one year. I will cover all my expenses during my visit. I have completed a M.A. at Sichuan international […] The post Hey—this is a new kind of spam! appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.
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