Posts

March 30, 2015

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5:00 PM | Can anthropology defeat self-deception to build better apps?
Last September, I participated in the relaunch of Ignite NYC. These mini-presentations test your game by only allowing you five minutes and 20 slides to share your idea with audience. It’s... -- Read more on ScientificAmerican.com
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5:00 PM | Can anthropology defeat self-deception to build better apps?
Last September, I participated in the relaunch of Ignite NYC. These mini-presentations test your game by only allowing you five minutes and 20 slides to share your idea with audience. It’s... -- Read more on ScientificAmerican.com
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4:00 PM | George Carlin (2) vs. John Waters (1); Updike advances
The bard of the suburbs wins yesterday‘s bout with another fine turn of phrase, this time brought to us in comments by Ethan: “Drinking a toast to the visible world, his impending disappearance from it be damned.” Updike, from “My Father’s Tears.” I want to hear from someone who can write like that about things […] The post George Carlin (2) vs. John Waters (1); Updike advances appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social […]
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1:24 PM | How is ethics like logistic regression?
Ethics decisions, like statistical inferences, are informative only if they’re not too easy or too hard. For the full story, read the whole thing. The post How is ethics like logistic regression? appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.
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3:42 AM | Is email one of the last private spaces online?
Someone has been using my email address. First, she registered it as the recovery address for another account she created, so I was notified about that account. Then she used my email address to... -- Read more on ScientificAmerican.com
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3:42 AM | Is email one of the last private spaces online?
Someone has been using my email address. First, she registered it as the recovery address for another account she created, so I was notified about that account. Then she used my email address to... -- Read more on ScientificAmerican.com

March 29, 2015

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6:30 PM | What do we learn about case studies from follow-up regression analysis?
Most multi-method research (MMR) studies with which I am familiar start with regression analysis (or, in recent years, QCA) and perform the case studies afterward. This is the order recommended by Lieberman in his nested analysis article which, in turn, … Continue reading →
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4:00 PM | Friedrich Nietzsche (4) vs. John Updike; Austen advances
I chose yesterday‘s winner based on the oddest comment we’ve received so far in the competition, from AC: I’d love to see what Jane Austen (Austen’s early Regency dress style: http://sensibility.com/vintageimages/1800s/images/lacedress.jpg) thought of late Regency dresses (http://www.kittyprint.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/EveningDresses.jpg), which were basically the exact opposite sensibility. It’s an astonishingly quick reversal, from narrow and prim to a […]
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1:25 PM | Regression: What’s it all about? [Bayesian and otherwise]
Regression: What’s it all about? Regression plays three different roles in applied statistics: 1. A specification of the conditional expectation of y given x; 2. A generative model of the world; 3. A method for adjusting data to generalize from sample to population, or to perform causal inferences. We could also include prediction, but I […] The post Regression: What’s it all about? [Bayesian and otherwise] appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social […]

March 28, 2015

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4:00 PM | Stewart Lee vs. Jane Austen; Dick advances
Yesterday‘s deciding arguments came from Horselover himself. As quoted by Dalton: Any given man sees only a tiny portion of the total truth, and very often, in fact almost . . . perpetually, he deliberately deceives himself about that precious little fragment as well. And: We ourselves are information-rich; information enters us, is processed and […] The post Stewart Lee vs. Jane Austen; Dick advances appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.
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1:11 PM | The publication of one of my pet ideas: Simulation-efficient shortest probability intervals
In a paper to appear in Statistics and Computing, Ying Liu, Tian Zheng, and I write: Bayesian highest posterior density (HPD) intervals can be estimated directly from simulations via empirical shortest intervals. Unfortunately, these can be noisy (that is, have a high Monte Carlo error). We derive an optimal weighting strategy using bootstrap and quadratic […] The post The publication of one of my pet ideas: Simulation-efficient shortest probability intervals appeared first on […]

March 27, 2015

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10:49 PM | The Benefits of Capturing your Everyday Experiences
SourceWhat would you rather do right now, write down the last conversation you had or watch a funny video guaranteed to make you laugh? What about a month from now – do you think you’d rather read about a random conversation you had last month or watch another funny video? These are some of the questions researchers asked in a recent set of studies exploring our tendency to underestimate how much pleasure we get out of rediscovering mundane experiences. Participants in these studies […]
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4:00 PM | Mohandas Gandhi (1) vs. Philip K. Dick (2); Hobbes advances
All of yesterday‘s best comments were in favor of the political philosopher. Adam writes: With Hobbes, the seminar would be “nasty, brutish, and short.” And it would degenerate into a “war of all against all.” In other words, the perfect academic seminar. And Jonathan writes: Chris Rock would definitely be more entertaining. But the chance […] The post Mohandas Gandhi (1) vs. Philip K. Dick (2); Hobbes advances appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal […]
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1:07 PM | Imagining p
We’ve all had that experience of going purposefully from one hypothesis to another, only to get there and forget why we made the journey. Four years ago, researcher Daryl Bem and his colleagues stripped this effect down, showing that the simple act of obtaining a statistically significant comparison induces publication in a top journal. Now […] The post Imagining p appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.
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11:16 AM | CFP: Farnir 3/2015 (Nordic Issue)
Please spread the word: CALL FOR PAPERS: Fafnir 3/2015 (Nordic issue) Fafnir – Nordic Journal of Science Fiction and Fantasy Research invites you to submit a paper for the upcoming edition 3/2015! Fafnir – Nordic Journal of Science Fiction and … Continue reading →

March 26, 2015

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5:55 PM | Gender Imbalance in Discussions of Best Research Practices
Over the last couple of weeks there have been some really excellent blog posts about gender representation in discussions of best research practices. The first was a shared Email correspondence between Simine Vazire and Lee Jussim. The second was a report of gender imbalance in discussions of best research practices by Alison Ledgerwood, Elizabeth Haines, and Kate Ratliff. Before then (May 2014), Sanjay Srivastava wrote about a probable diversity problem in the best practices debate. Go read […]
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4:00 PM | Chris Rock (3) vs. Thomas Hobbes; Wood advances
In yesterday‘s contest, there’s no doubt in my mind that Levi-Strauss would give a better and more interesting talk than Wood, whose lecture would presumably feature non-sequiturs, solecisms, continuity violations, and the like. But the funniest comment was from Jonathan: Ed Wood on Forecasting: “We are all interested in the future for that is where […] The post Chris Rock (3) vs. Thomas Hobbes; Wood advances appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and […]
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1:04 PM | Another disgraced primatologist . . . this time featuring “sympathetic dentists”
Shravan Vasishth points us to this news item from Luke Harding, “History of modern man unravels as German scholar is exposed as fraud”: Other details of the professor’s life also appeared to crumble under scrutiny. Before he disappeared from the university’s campus last year, Prof Protsch told his students he had examined Hitler’s and Eva […] The post Another disgraced primatologist . . . this time featuring “sympathetic dentists” appeared first […]

March 25, 2015

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4:00 PM | Claude Levi-Strauss (4) vs. Ed Wood (3); Cervantes wins
For yesterday we have a tough call, having to decide between two much-loved philosophical writers, as Jonathan put it in comments: Camus on ramdomness; how make a model when there is no signal — only noise. Cervantes on making the world fit the model through self-delusion. Two fascinating statistics lectures with the same underlying theme […] The post Claude Levi-Strauss (4) vs. Ed Wood (3); Cervantes wins appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.
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3:05 PM | Lingerie, chocolate, and shopping. 24 Feb 2015
Consumer psychology meets the psychology of attraction: how female fertility influences desire for variety in products. And look but don’t touch: observing male behaviour in lingerie stores.Download the MP3Participate in my research!The psychology of fail videos (women only)How do you help others?Rate me! Rate, review, or listen in iTunes or in Stitcher.More chocolate is always better than less chocolate. But new research shows that women are more interested in getting a good variety of […]
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2:58 PM | Michelle Heron-Delaney on babies' face preferences. March 2013
The weird science of attraction. We hear about the work of three research teams who dared to pose curious questions, tested their hypotheses on peculiar populations, and discovered that unusual investigations can yield back to front results. Also, I interview Michelle Heron-Delaney of The University of Queensland about her recent work on whether babies can tell an attractive from an unattractive adult.Download the MP3Rate me! Rate, review, or listen in iTunes or in Stitcher.How attractive is […]
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2:58 PM | Konstantin Tskhay on "gaydar" and Barnaby Dixson on beards. April 2013
This month, is gaydar real? Can we tell whether a person is gay or straight, or even whether they adopt particular sexual roles, purely from their facial appearance? I talk to Konstantin Tskhay to find out. I also talk to Barnaby Dixson and discover what type of facial hair is the most attractive, and whether men with bushier beards make better fathers.Download the MP3Rate me! Rate, review, or listen in iTunes or in Stitcher.In HBO's new Liberace biopic, Behind the Candelabra, Matt Damon short […]
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2:58 PM | Special: Barnaby Dixson on beards, extended interview. April 2013
Episode 50! An extended interview with Barnaby Dixson of the University of New South Wales. We discuss research on facial hair and attractiveness, both Barnaby's own work and the wider research area. We cover the evolution of facial hair, the history of facial hair research, detail some of the ways Barnaby works to control confounding variables in his experiments, and find out whether researching facial hair has made Barnaby more or less likely to cultivate his very own chin warmer.Download the […]
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2:57 PM | Michael Pham on oral sex. May 2013
What is the point of oral sex? I talk to Michael Pham of Oakland University to find out. Also, do tattoos make women more or less attractive? Quick answer: it depends.Download the MP3Rate me! Rate, review, or listen in iTunes or in Stitcher.Michael Douglas revealed today that he thinks his throat cancer might have been caused by cunnilingus. If he's right, that's one downside of oral sex. But are there other costs to weigh against the (obvious) benefits of oral sex? I speak to Michael Pham, who […]
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2:57 PM | Musicians are more alluring than firemen. June 2013
This month we find out what a woman wants in a man can tell us about the type of relationship she desires, and why seeing red puts men in the mood for love. Also, finding it difficult to convince women to give you their phone number? We discover a simple method of doubling your success rate: buy a guitar! Download the MP3Rate me! Rate, review, or listen in iTunes or in Stitcher.Would you give your phone number to this man? Nicolas Gueguen has found that women are more likely to give their […]
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2:57 PM | Smiling and beauty. July 2013
Why we prefer our partners to be more like us, and why we want to be more like our rivals. Also, new research on emotional expression and beauty that gives us all something to smile about.Download the MP3Rate me! Rate, review, or listen in iTunes or in Stitcher.New research shows that smiling makes you more attractive than a grumpy beauty. So turn that frown upside down!The articles covered in the show:Laeng, B., Vermeer, O., & Sulutvedt, U. (2013). Is beauty in the face of the beholder? […]
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2:57 PM | Alex Hill on sexual selection in humans. Aug 2013
I speak to Alex Hill, an anthropology postgrad at Penn State, who gives me the lowdown on his recent study of sexual selection in humans.Download the MP3Rate me! Rate, review, or listen in iTunes or in Stitcher.Are all those muscles going to be more handy for attracting women, or beating up other men? How has sexual selection acted on male physicality? I talk to Alex Hill to find out.The articles covered in the show:Hill, A. K., Hunt, J., Welling, L. L. M., Cárdenas, R. A., Rotella, M. […]
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2:57 PM | Baby-making special. Sept 2013
This month, it’s a baby-making special. We take a closer look at the psychology of family planning, from the link between personality and fertility, to the motivational value of baby photographs, and even condom sabotage! Download the MP3Rate me! Rate, review, or listen in iTunes or in Stitcher.The articles covered in the show:Skirbekk, V., & Blekesaune, M. (in press). Personality traits increasingly important for male fertility: Evidence from Norway. European Journal of Personality. […]
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2:56 PM | Menstrual cycle special. Oct 2013
This month, it’s a menstrual cycle special. We find out how changes in your hormone levels can influence your attitudes to kissing and dancing, make you flirt more, and even affect the psychology of your partner.I've covered cyclic effects on mating psychology many, many times before on the podcast. If you want to hear more, click on the label for "human oestrus".Download the MP3Rate me! Rate, review, or listen in iTunes or in Stitcher.Yep, it's that time of the month again. Time for […]
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2:56 PM | "Vocal fry" and why Kim Kardashian will never get a proper job. May 2014
Why Kim Kardashian would struggle finding a job outside showbiz, and how beauty is in the nose as well as the eye of the beholder. We also discover how male height impacts upon family size.Download the MP3Rate me! Rate, review, or listen in iTunes or in Stitcher.Kanye must see something in Kim, but it's probably not her creaky, croaky voice: her "vocal fry".The articles covered in the show:Anderson, R. C., Klofstad, C. A., Mayew, W. J., & Venkatachalam, M. (2014). Vocal fry may undermine […]
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