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5:42 AM | November 02, 2012
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People tend to be optimistic, and with good reason. Life is better when you believe you’re capable of achieving your goals. Unfortunately, optimism bias can lead to inaccurate predictions about when a task will be completed, and if somebody wants you to do something (e.g. construct a new bathroom, transit system, or tax plan), this is a [...]

Min, K. & Arkes, H. (2012). When Is Difficult Planning Good Planning? The Effects of Scenario-Based Planning on Optimistic Prediction Bias, Journal of Applied Social Psychology, DOI:

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